Premium
A MULTIREGIONAL ECONOMETRIC MODEL OF THE ITALIAN ECONOMY: THE GROWTH OF SERVICE EMPLOYMENT
Author(s) -
Cappellin Riccardo,
Chizzolini Barbara,
Santandrea Vincenzo
Publication year - 1987
Publication title -
papers in regional science
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.937
H-Index - 64
eISSN - 1435-5957
pISSN - 1056-8190
DOI - 10.1111/j.1435-5597.1987.tb01685.x
Subject(s) - econometric model , economics , tertiary sector of the economy , order (exchange) , service (business) , estimation , growth model , econometrics , labour economics , macroeconomics , economy , finance , management
This paper presents the results of the estimation and simulation of a submodel of a multiregional econometric model which is bused on a “bottom‐up” and “supply side” approach. The equations of the service sectors follow a specification different from that usually adopted for industrial sectors, as a crucial role is given lo selfemployed labour and to labour force growth. The model has been estimated on pooled data for 12 years (1970‐1981) for the 20 Italian regions using the ordinary least square technique. The model indicates that the growth of service employment is determined not only by the growth of industrial employment and that macroeconomic policies could be adopted in order to increase employment in service activities.