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Dinámica de las epidemias de dengue en contextos urbanos
Author(s) -
Pongsumpun P.,
Garcia Lopez D.,
Favier C.,
Torres L.,
Llosa J.,
Dubois M. A.
Publication year - 2008
Publication title -
tropical medicine and international health
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 1.056
H-Index - 114
eISSN - 1365-3156
pISSN - 1360-2276
DOI - 10.1111/j.1365-3156.2008.02124.x
Subject(s) - dengue fever , geography , dynamics (music) , outbreak , statistical physics , lattice (music) , coupling (piping) , simple (philosophy) , econometrics , computer science , cartography , mathematics , virology , physics , engineering , biology , mechanical engineering , philosophy , epistemology , acoustics
Summary Dengue, similar to other arboviral diseases, exhibits complex spatiotemporal dynamics. Even at town or village level, individual‐based spatially explicit models are required to correctly reproduce epidemic curves. This makes modelling at the regional level (province, country or continent) very difficult and cumbersome. We propose here a first step to build a hierarchized model by constructing a simple analytical expression which reproduces the model output from macroscopic parameters describing each ‘village’. It also turns out to be a good approximation of real urban epidermic outbreaks. Subsequently, a regional model could be built by coupling these equations on a lattice.