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The prediction of medical student performance using in‐course assessment
Author(s) -
PETTINGALE K. W.,
TOMLINSON R. W.,
RYAN K. C.,
ANDERSON J.,
CLACK GILLIAN B.
Publication year - 1976
Publication title -
medical education
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 1.776
H-Index - 138
eISSN - 1365-2923
pISSN - 0308-0110
DOI - 10.1111/j.1365-2923.1976.tb00433.x
Subject(s) - predictive value , medical education , outcome (game theory) , medicine , psychology , mathematics , mathematical economics
Summary The value of in‐course assessment at King's College Hospital Medical School at predicting student performance at final qualifying examinations in medicine and surgery has been analysed. Only a small proportion of the variation in marks at finals could be explained by the factors studied. Both the MCQ and firm report methods of internal assessment used in the first clinical year were equally valuble at predicting final outcome. Performance at 2nd MB BS, the possession of another degree and the sequence of firm attachment in the first year have little predictive value. Female students are predicted to perform better in medicine than in surgery. The development of a more standardized quantifiable firm assessment looks potentially more valuable at predicting performance than refining the first year MCQ examinations.