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Bayesian transmogrification of clade divergence dates: a critique
Author(s) -
Heads Michael
Publication year - 2012
Publication title -
journal of biogeography
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 1.7
H-Index - 158
eISSN - 1365-2699
pISSN - 0305-0270
DOI - 10.1111/j.1365-2699.2012.02784.x
Subject(s) - gondwana , clade , vicariance , prior probability , paleontology , divergence (linguistics) , bayesian probability , geology , evolutionary biology , biology , tectonics , statistics , mathematics , phylogenetics , philosophy , biochemistry , linguistics , gene
The crucial step in Bayesian dating of phylogenies is the selection of prior probability curves for clade ages. In studies on regions derived from Gondwana, many authors have used steep priors, stipulating that clades can only be a little older than their oldest known fossil. These studies have ruled out vicariance associated with Gondwana breakup, but only because of the particular priors that were adopted. The use of non‐flat priors for fossil‐based ages is not justified and is unnecessary. Tectonic calibrations can be integrated with fossil calibrations that are used to give minimum clade ages only.