Premium
Earlier onset of the spring phytoplankton bloom in lakes of the temperate zone in a warmer climate
Author(s) -
PEETERS FRANK,
STRAILE DIETMAR,
LORKE ANDREAS,
LIVINGSTONE DAVID M.
Publication year - 2007
Publication title -
global change biology
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 4.146
H-Index - 255
eISSN - 1365-2486
pISSN - 1354-1013
DOI - 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2007.01412.x
Subject(s) - phytoplankton , spring bloom , environmental science , bloom , trophic level , plankton , zooplankton , oceanography , climate change , algal bloom , temperate climate , stratification (seeds) , ecology , biology , geology , nutrient , dormancy , seed dormancy , botany , germination
The decoupling of trophic interactions is potentially one of the most severe consequences of climate warming. In lakes and oceans the timing of phytoplankton blooms affects competition within the plankton community as well as food–web interactions with zooplankton and fish. Using Upper Lake Constance as an example, we present a model‐based analysis that predicts that in a future warmer climate, the onset of the spring phytoplankton bloom will occur earlier in the year than it does at present. This is a result of the earlier occurrence of the transition from strong to weak vertical mixing in spring, and of the associated earlier onset of stratification. According to our simulations a shift in the timing of phytoplankton growth resulting from a consistently warmer climate will exceed that resulting from a single unusually warm year. The numerical simulations are complemented by a statistical analysis of long‐term data from Upper Lake Constance which demonstrates that oligotrophication has a negligible effect on the timing of phytoplankton growth in spring and that an early onset of the spring phytoplankton bloom is associated with high air temperatures and low wind speeds.