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Potential distribution ranges in Europe for Aeolesthes sarta , Tetropium gracilicorne and Xylotrechus altaicus , a CLIMEX analysis
Author(s) -
Vanhanen H.,
Veteli T. O.,
Niemelä P.
Publication year - 2008
Publication title -
eppo bulletin
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.327
H-Index - 36
eISSN - 1365-2338
pISSN - 0250-8052
DOI - 10.1111/j.1365-2338.2008.01211.x
Subject(s) - range (aeronautics) , climate change , distribution (mathematics) , species distribution , ecology , geography , population , biology , habitat , mathematical analysis , mathematics , materials science , demography , sociology , composite material
In this study, the potential distribution ranges for three different Asian Cerambycid beetles, Aeolesthes sarta (Solsky), Tetropium gracilicorne (Reitter) and Xylotrechus altaicus (Gebler), were simulated using the climatic modeling program CLIMEX. This program calculates an ecoclimatic index based on the life cycle requirements of a species and thus represents the probability of a viable population existing at a certain location. Simulations show that all of the studied species have a potential distribution in Europe according to climatic factors. Also, potential hosts for these species grow in much of Europe, making the potential establishment of these species possible. Simulation with Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) climate change scenario A1B resulted in changes of 200 to 1100 km at the northern and southern edges of the distribution range for the studied species.