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Risks, forecasting and tactical decision‐making in integrated pest and disease management 1
Author(s) -
DAAMEN R. A.,
RABBINGE R.
Publication year - 1991
Publication title -
eppo bulletin
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.327
H-Index - 36
eISSN - 1365-2338
pISSN - 0250-8052
DOI - 10.1111/j.1365-2338.1991.tb01276.x
Subject(s) - outbreak , agriculture , integrated pest management , pest analysis , risk management , environmental science , dependency (uml) , risk analysis (engineering) , environmental resource management , business , geography , ecology , computer science , biology , marketing , software engineering , finance , virology
The uncertainty of pest and disease outbreaks and the associated damage (risk) may limit the adoption of integrated farming systems. This risk can be reduced by preventive practices and by a selective use of pesticides based on monitoring and forecasts. Whether forecasts based on agrometeorological data may reduce risk depends mainly on the strength of the weather dependency of the host and the parasite and whether outbreaks can be forecast accurately and in time to allow control action. Pests for which the weather only sometimes enables an outbreak, or which exhibit long incubation periods, are good candidates for forecasts based on weather. Epidemics of wheat diseases are discussed as an illustration.