Premium
Implied Foreign Exchange Risk Premia
Author(s) -
Panigirtzoglou Nikolaos
Publication year - 2004
Publication title -
european financial management
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 1.311
H-Index - 64
eISSN - 1468-036X
pISSN - 1354-7798
DOI - 10.1111/j.1354-7798.2004.00252.x
Subject(s) - risk premium , foreign exchange risk , foreign exchange market , interest rate parity , covered interest arbitrage , economics , foreign exchange , liberian dollar , monetary economics , arbitrage , financial economics , exchange rate , finance
This paper uses implied volatilities from foreign exchange option prices and the results of no‐arbitrage theory to estimate foreign exchange risk premia. In particular, under the assumption of no‐arbitrage, the foreign exchange risk premium is driven by the difference between investors’ market prices of risk in the two currencies. In an international economy with three currencies, sterling, US dollar and Deutschemark, we can use the information on implied volatilities of the three cross rates to derive estimates of implied or ex ante market prices of risk and of foreign exchange risk premia. The foreign exchange risk premia estimates are then compared to survey‐based risk premia.