Premium
The Impact of Exchange Rate Volatility on UK Exports to EU Countries
Author(s) -
De vita Glauco,
Abbott Andrew
Publication year - 2004
Publication title -
scottish journal of political economy
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.4
H-Index - 46
eISSN - 1467-9485
pISSN - 0036-9292
DOI - 10.1111/j.0036-9292.2004.05101004.x
Subject(s) - economics , cointegration , volatility (finance) , exchange rate , european union , monetary economics , international economics , effective exchange rate , econometrics , macroeconomics
This paper investigates the impact of exchange rate volatility on UK exports to European Union (EU) countries by means of a newly developed ARDL bounds testing procedure to cointegration. Using monthly data disaggregated by market of destination and sectors for the period 1993ml to 2001m6, our results indicate that UK exports to the EU14, at both aggregate and sectoral level, are generally income elastic, relative price inelastic and largely unaffected by short‐term exchange rate volatility. Re‐estimation of the model using a long‐term measure of volatility, however, provides evidence supporting the hypothesis that exchange rate uncertainty has a negative and significant influence on UK exports to EU countries.