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The future of work: Meeting the global challenges of demographic change and automation
Author(s) -
ABELIANSKY Ana L.,
ALGUR Eda,
BLOOM David E.,
PRETTNER Klaus
Publication year - 2020
Publication title -
international labour review
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.433
H-Index - 46
eISSN - 1564-913X
pISSN - 0020-7780
DOI - 10.1111/ilr.12168
Subject(s) - unemployment , demographics , demographic change , work (physics) , job creation , technological change , automation , labour economics , population , demographic economics , economics , population growth , economic growth , business , engineering , sociology , demography , mechanical engineering , macroeconomics
This article explores future job creation needs under conditions of demographic, economic and technological change. The authors first estimate the implications for job creation during 2020–30 of population growth, changes in labour force participation and the achievement of target unemployment rates, by age and sex. Second, they analyse the job creation needs by country income group and, lastly, examine the effects of accelerated automation. Projections indicate that shifting demographics will account for a far greater share of the estimated global need for 340 million jobs over 2020–30 than automation.