Premium
Factors Driving the Population Growth and Decline of Portuguese Cities
Author(s) -
Barreira Ana Paula,
S. Ramalho Joaquim J.,
Panagopoulos Thomas,
Guimarães Maria Helena
Publication year - 2017
Publication title -
growth and change
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.657
H-Index - 55
eISSN - 1468-2257
pISSN - 0017-4815
DOI - 10.1111/grow.12205
Subject(s) - urbanization , portuguese , unemployment , geography , demographic economics , panel data , unemployment rate , population , population growth , climate change , demographic change , economics , socioeconomics , economic geography , demography , economic growth , econometrics , sociology , ecology , linguistics , philosophy , biology
Abstract Despite the worldwide trend of urbanisation, data reveal that some cities are growing whereas others are losing inhabitants. To assess such dynamics in Portuguese cities, demographic, employment, housing, and climate variables were analysed as possible drivers of population change for the period 1991–2011. Panel data models show that higher shares of employment in the secondary and tertiary sectors, higher maximum temperatures, and a higher proportion of middle‐aged vacant houses act as pull factors attracting inhabitants, whereas a higher unemployment rate is a push factor for cities.