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Mechanisms matter: Predicting the ecological impacts of global change
Author(s) -
Boult Victoria L.,
Evans Luke C.
Publication year - 2021
Publication title -
global change biology
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 4.146
H-Index - 255
eISSN - 1365-2486
pISSN - 1354-1013
DOI - 10.1111/gcb.15527
Subject(s) - environmental change , climate change , global change , ecology , population , computer science , environmental resource management , environmental science , biology , demography , sociology
The ability of mechanistic models to reliably extrapolate to novel conditions could position them as the gold standard in understanding the impacts of global change, but exactly how mechanistic models can be used most effectively remains to be determined. In this issue, Desforges et al. present a mechanistic physiological model to understand the drivers of muskox population dynamics. We took this as an opportunity to discuss the potential for, and challenges of, using mechanistic models to predict ecological responses to environmental change.