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Long‐term physiological and growth responses of Himalayan fir to environmental change are mediated by mean climate
Author(s) -
Panthi Shankar,
Fan ZeXin,
Sleen Peter,
Zuidema Pieter A.
Publication year - 2020
Publication title -
global change biology
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 4.146
H-Index - 255
eISSN - 1365-2486
pISSN - 1354-1013
DOI - 10.1111/gcb.14910
Subject(s) - climate change , environmental science , dendrochronology , global warming , atmospheric sciences , altitude (triangle) , vapour pressure deficit , moisture , δ13c , ecology , climatology , stable isotope ratio , biology , geography , geology , botany , transpiration , paleontology , photosynthesis , geometry , mathematics , meteorology , physics , quantum mechanics
High‐elevation forests are experiencing high rates of warming, in combination with CO 2 rise and (sometimes) drying trends. In these montane systems, the effects of environmental changes on tree growth are also modified by elevation itself, thus complicating our ability to predict effects of future climate change. Tree‐ring analysis along an elevation gradient allows quantifying effects of gradual and annual environmental changes. Here, we study long‐term physiological (ratio of internal to ambient CO 2 , i.e., C i /C a and intrinsic water‐use efficiency, iWUE) and growth responses (tree‐ring width) of Himalayan fir ( Abies spectabilis ) trees in response to warming, drying, and CO 2 rise. Our study was conducted along elevational gradients in a dry and a wet region in the central Himalaya. We combined dendrochronology and stable carbon isotopes (δ 13 C) to quantify long‐term trends in C i /C a ratio and iWUE (δ 13 C‐derived), growth (mixed‐effects models), and evaluate climate sensitivity (correlations). We found that iWUE increased over time at all elevations, with stronger increase in the dry region. Climate–growth relations showed growth‐limiting effects of spring moisture (dry region) and summer temperature (wet region), and negative effects of temperature (dry region). We found negative growth trends at lower elevations (dry and wet regions), suggesting that continental‐scale warming and regional drying reduced tree growth. This interpretation is supported by δ 13 C‐derived long‐term physiological responses, which are consistent with responses to reduced moisture and increased vapor pressure deficit. At high elevations (wet region), we found positive growth trends, suggesting that warming has favored tree growth in regions where temperature most strongly limits growth. At lower elevations (dry and wet regions), the positive effects of CO 2 rise did not mitigate the negative effects of warming and drying on tree growth. Our results raise concerns on the productivity of Himalayan fir forests at low and middle (<3,300 m) elevations as climate change progresses.