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The impacts of increasing drought on forest dynamics, structure, and biodiversity in the United States
Author(s) -
Clark James S.,
Iverson Louis,
Woodall Christopher W.,
Allen Craig D.,
Bell David M.,
Bragg Don C.,
D'Amato Anthony W.,
Davis Frank W.,
Hersh Michelle H.,
Ibanez Ines,
Jackson Stephen T.,
Matthews Stephen,
Pederson Neil,
Peters Matthew,
Schwartz Mark W.,
Waring Kristen M.,
Zimmermann Niklaus E.
Publication year - 2016
Publication title -
global change biology
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 4.146
H-Index - 255
eISSN - 1365-2486
pISSN - 1354-1013
DOI - 10.1111/gcb.13160
Subject(s) - biodiversity , climate change , habitat , ecology , temporal scales , forest dynamics , forest management , geography , global change , environmental resource management , agroforestry , environmental science , biology
We synthesize insights from current understanding of drought impacts at stand‐to‐biogeographic scales, including management options, and we identify challenges to be addressed with new research. Large stand‐level shifts underway in western forests already are showing the importance of interactions involving drought, insects, and fire. Diebacks, changes in composition and structure, and shifting range limits are widely observed. In the eastern US , the effects of increasing drought are becoming better understood at the level of individual trees, but this knowledge cannot yet be confidently translated to predictions of changing structure and diversity of forest stands. While eastern forests have not experienced the types of changes seen in western forests in recent decades, they too are vulnerable to drought and could experience significant changes with increased severity, frequency, or duration in drought. Throughout the continental United States, the combination of projected large climate‐induced shifts in suitable habitat from modeling studies and limited potential for the rapid migration of tree populations suggests that changing tree and forest biogeography could substantially lag habitat shifts already underway. Forest management practices can partially ameliorate drought impacts through reductions in stand density, selection of drought‐tolerant species and genotypes, artificial regeneration, and the development of multistructured stands. However, silvicultural treatments also could exacerbate drought impacts unless implemented with careful attention to site and stand characteristics. Gaps in our understanding should motivate new research on the effects of interactions involving climate and other species at the stand scale and how interactions and multiple responses are represented in models. This assessment indicates that, without a stronger empirical basis for drought impacts at the stand scale, more complex models may provide limited guidance.