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Pairs trading on different portfolios based on machine learning
Author(s) -
Chang Victor,
Man Xiaowen,
Xu Qianwen,
Hsu ChingHsien
Publication year - 2021
Publication title -
expert systems
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.365
H-Index - 38
eISSN - 1468-0394
pISSN - 0266-4720
DOI - 10.1111/exsy.12649
Subject(s) - computer science , statistical arbitrage , trading strategy , technical analysis , profitability index , algorithmic trading , analytics , portfolio , financial market , artificial intelligence , machine learning , visualization , stock market , finance , data science , capital asset pricing model , economics , paleontology , horse , arbitrage pricing theory , risk arbitrage , biology
This article presents an advanced visualization and analytics approach for financial research. Statistical arbitrage, particularly pairs trading strategy, has gained ground in the financial market and machine learning techniques are applied to the finance field. The cointegration approach and long short‐term memory (LSTM) were utilized to achieve stock pairs identification and price prediction purposes, respectively, in this project. This article focused on the US stock market, investigating the performance of pairs trading on different types of portfolios (aggressive and defensive portfolio) and compare the accuracy of price prediction based on LSTM. It can be briefly concluded that LSTM offers higher prediction precision on aggressive stocks and implementing pairs trading on the defensive portfolio would gain higher profitability during a specific period between 2016 and 2017. However, predicting tools like LSTM only offer limited advice on stock movement and should be cautiously utilized. We conclude that analytics and visualization can be effective for financial analysis, forecasting and investment strategy.