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IMPACT OF A TERTIARY ELIGIBILITY THRESHOLD ON TERTIARY EDUCATION AND EARNINGS: A DISCONTINUITY APPROACH
Author(s) -
Nordin Martin,
Heckley Gawain,
Gerdtham UlfG.
Publication year - 2020
Publication title -
economic inquiry
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.823
H-Index - 72
eISSN - 1465-7295
pISSN - 0095-2583
DOI - 10.1111/ecin.12846
Subject(s) - regression discontinuity design , higher education , tertiary level , earnings , tertiary care , stochastic game , economics , discontinuity (linguistics) , margin (machine learning) , demographic economics , statistics , mathematics education , mathematics , medicine , accounting , economic growth , computer science , microeconomics , mathematical analysis , family medicine , machine learning
This study uses a discontinuity in the Swedish tertiary eligibility requirement to estimate the probability of enrolling in tertiary education, and the payoff thereof. Regression discontinuity results, show that achieving tertiary eligibility in upper‐secondary education, increases the probability of enrolling in tertiary education by around 10–15 and 7 percentage points for students who enrolled on an academic and vocational track, respectively. For academic students, this implies 5% higher earnings for men, while for women it increases the probability of having positive incomes by 2%. Thus, academic students at the margin of tertiary education receive a substantial tertiary education payoff. ( JEL I21, I26, I28)