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Long‐term Interest Rates and Public Debt Maturity
Author(s) -
Beetsma Roel,
Giuliodori Massimo,
Sakalauskaite Ieva
Publication year - 2017
Publication title -
economica
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 1.532
H-Index - 65
eISSN - 1468-0335
pISSN - 0013-0427
DOI - 10.1111/ecca.12178
Subject(s) - maturity (psychological) , economics , interest rate , inflation (cosmology) , term (time) , debt , sample (material) , econometrics , monetary economics , autoregressive model , debt ratio , basis point , macroeconomics , psychology , developmental psychology , chemistry , physics , chromatography , quantum mechanics , theoretical physics
This paper adds to the literature studying how fiscal variables affect long‐term interest rates. Using a sample of sixteen OECD countries over the period 1980–2007, we show that a one‐year increase in the maturity of the public debt lowers the long‐term interest rate by on average 20–30 basis points. This negative effect is found for both static and panel vector autoregressive specifications. Country sample splits suggest that it is present in particular for low‐maturity or high‐inflation countries.