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Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership and Trans‐Pacific Partnership: Policy Options of China
Author(s) -
Aslan Buhara,
Kutuk Merve Mavus,
Oduncu Arif
Publication year - 2015
Publication title -
china and world economy
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.815
H-Index - 28
eISSN - 1749-124X
pISSN - 1671-2234
DOI - 10.1111/cwe.12134
Subject(s) - transatlantic trade and investment partnership , china , computable general equilibrium , general partnership , international trade , international economics , multilateral trade negotiations , economics , negotiation , commercial policy , investment (military) , free trade , business , political science , macroeconomics , finance , politics , law
Abstract As a result of deadlocked multilateral trade negotiations, many countries have embarked on the establishment of bilateral and regional trade agreements. Using the Global Trade Analysis Project database and a computable general equilibrium model, our paper focuses on the impacts of the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP) and the Trans‐Pacific Partnership (TPP) on the Chinese economy under three scenarios. The results suggest that when only the TTIP is realized, Chinese economic variables are negatively affected. When both the TTIP and the TPP are realized and China is excluded, the combined damage to the Chinese economy is higher than the damage with the TTIP alone. However, the inclusion of China in the TPP has a positively effect on economic variables in China. This indicates that the impacts of China's participation in the TPP compensate for the negative impacts of the TTIP. Therefore, China should consider being part of the TPP to offset the negative impacts of the TTIP.