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Do South–South preferential trade agreements undermine the prospects for multilateral free trade?
Author(s) -
Missios Paul,
Yildiz Halis Murat
Publication year - 2017
Publication title -
canadian journal of economics/revue canadienne d'économique
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.773
H-Index - 69
eISSN - 1540-5982
pISSN - 0008-4085
DOI - 10.1111/caje.12253
Subject(s) - trade diversion , free trade agreement , free trade , international trade , international economics , international free trade agreement , welfare , trade creation , economics , trade barrier , rules of origin , regional trade , yield (engineering) , materials science , market economy , metallurgy
Due to trade diversion, there have been concerns expressed over the proliferation of preferential trade agreements (PTAs) that include South countries. In this paper, we compare welfare across different geographic configurations of bilateral free trade agreements (FTAs) and customs unions (CUs) and examine their implications for the stability of multilateral free trade. While North–North PTAs do tend to yield higher global welfare than South–South PTAs, a single South–South FTA may make free trade more sustainable than any other single agreement. With pre‐existing North–North agreements and a large enough cost asymmetry between regions, an additional South member or a new South–South agreement always makes free trade harder to sustain.