Premium
DO BALANCED‐BUDGET RULES INCREASE GROWTH?
Author(s) -
Stone Joe A.
Publication year - 2016
Publication title -
bulletin of economic research
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.227
H-Index - 29
eISSN - 1467-8586
pISSN - 0307-3378
DOI - 10.1111/boer.12038
Subject(s) - economics , endogeneity , productivity , robustness (evolution) , debt , econometrics , outlier , budget constraint , monetary economics , public capital , macroeconomics , microeconomics , production (economics) , public investment , statistics , biochemistry , chemistry , mathematics , gene
This study tests the hypothesis that balanced‐budget rules (BBRs) that restrict public borrowing to investments in public infrastructure increase growth by increasing the productivity of debt, either because investments in public infrastructure are more productive than other uses for which states borrow funds or because BBRs lower borrowing costs. Results are based on data at 5‐year intervals for 49 US states over the period 1957–2007. The tests strongly support the hypothesis that BBRs increase growth by increasing the productivity of debt and withstand a variety of robustness checks, including alternative lags, exogeneity tests, GMM estimation, a placebo test, and the influence of outliers.