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It's (Change in) the (Future) Economy, Stupid: Economic Indicators, the Media, and Public Opinion
Author(s) -
Soroka Stuart N.,
Stecula Dominik A.,
Wlezien Christopher
Publication year - 2015
Publication title -
american journal of political science
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 6.347
H-Index - 170
eISSN - 1540-5907
pISSN - 0092-5853
DOI - 10.1111/ajps.12145
Subject(s) - public opinion , perception , recession , affect (linguistics) , government (linguistics) , media coverage , political science , politics , political economy , economics , psychology , sociology , media studies , linguistics , philosophy , communication , neuroscience , keynesian economics , law
Economic perceptions affect policy preferences and government support. It thus matters that these perceptions are driven by factors other than the economy, including media coverage. We nevertheless know little about how media reflect economic trends, and whether they influence (or are influenced by) public economic perceptions. This article explores the economy, media, and public opinion, focusing in particular on whether media coverage and the public react to changes in or levels of economic activity, and the past, present, or future economy. Analyses rely on content‐analytic data drawn from 30,000 news stories over 30 years in the United States. Results indicate that coverage reflects change in the future economy, and that this both influences and is influenced by public evaluations. These patterns make more understandable the somewhat surprising finding of positive coverage and public assessments in the midst of the Great Recession. They also may help explain previous findings in political behavior.