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Low‐frequency volatility of real estate securities and macroeconomic risk
Author(s) -
Lee Chyi Lin,
Stevenson Simon,
Lee MingLong
Publication year - 2018
Publication title -
accounting and finance
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.645
H-Index - 49
eISSN - 1467-629X
pISSN - 0810-5391
DOI - 10.1111/acfi.12288
Subject(s) - real estate , volatility (finance) , real estate investment trust , economics , financial economics , capitalization rate , monetary economics , commercial mortgage backed security , business , econometrics , finance
Real estate securities have distinct characteristics that differentiate them from stocks generally. Key amongst them is that underpinning the firms are both real and investment assets. Therefore, the connections between the underlying macroeconomy and listed real estate firms are of heightened importance. To consider the linkages with macroeconomic fundamentals, we extract the ‘low‐frequency’ volatility component from aggregate volatility shocks in 11 international securitised real estate markets using Engle and Rangel's (2008) Spline‐ GARCH model. The analysis reveals that the low‐frequency volatility of real estate securities has strong and positive association with most of the macroeconomic risk proxies examined. Differences between real estate securities and common stocks have also been identified.