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External Validation of the PECARN Head Trauma Prediction Rules in Japan
Author(s) -
Ide Kentaro,
Uematsu Satoko,
Tetsuhara Kenichi,
Yoshimura Satoshi,
Kato Takahiro,
Kobayashi Tohru
Publication year - 2017
Publication title -
academic emergency medicine
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 1.221
H-Index - 124
eISSN - 1553-2712
pISSN - 1069-6563
DOI - 10.1111/acem.13129
Subject(s) - medicine , glasgow coma scale , neurosurgery , head trauma , head injury , emergency medicine , pediatric trauma , retrospective cohort study , pediatrics , emergency department , injury prevention , poison control , anesthesia , surgery , psychiatry
Objectives The Pediatric Emergency Care Applied Research Network ( PECARN ) head trauma prediction rules are used to assist computed tomography ( CT ) decision‐making for children with minor head trauma. Although the PECARN rules have been validated in North America and Europe, they have not yet been validated in Asia. In Japan, there are no clinical decision rules for children with minor head trauma. The rate of head CT for children with minor head trauma in Japan is high since CT is widely accessible across the country. The objective of this study was to evaluate the diagnostic accuracy of the PECARN rules for identifying clinically important traumatic brain injuries (ci TBI ) in children with minor head trauma in Japan. Methods We conducted a retrospective cohort study at a tertiary care pediatric hospital in Japan (30,000 patients/year). We enrolled all children younger than 18 years with minor head trauma (Glasgow Coma Scale ≥ 14) who presented to the emergency department within 24 hours of their injury between January and December 2013. We retrospectively classified the children into three risk categories according to the PECARN rules. The PECARN rules were considered negative when children were classified into the very‐low‐risk category. The primary outcome was considered positive when a child had ci TBI defined as head injury resulting in death, neurosurgery, intubation for > 24 hours, or hospital admission ≥ 2 nights with evidence of TBI on CT . Results Among 2,208 children included in the study, 24 (1.1%) had ci TBI . Sensitivities and specificities of the PECARN rules to predict ci TBI were 85.7% (12/14; 95% confidence interval [ CI ] = 57.2 to 98.2) and 73.5% (572/778; 95% CI = 70.3 to 76.6), respectively, for children < 2 years old, and 100% (10/10; 95% CI = 58.7 to 100) and 73.5% (1033/1406; 95% CI = 71.0 to 75.7) for children ≥ 2 years old, respectively. There were 10 cases of physically abused children < 2 years old, and six (60%) of them had ci TBI . Also, two cases of physically abused children with ci TBI were classified as very low risk. If we did not include physically abused children, the sensitivity of the PECARN rule for children < 2 years old improved from 85.7% to 100% (8/8). Conclusions The PECARN rules were less sensitive for physically abused children, although the rules showed excellent applicability for the cohort without physical abuse. Thoughtful consideration may be needed for cases of nonaccidental trauma. Further prospective studies are required to verify the applicability of the PECARN rules for children with minor head trauma in Japan.