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Economic and Sociological Correlates of Suicides: Multilevel Analysis of the Time Series Data in the United Kingdom
Author(s) -
Sun Bruce Qiang,
Zhang Jie
Publication year - 2016
Publication title -
journal of forensic sciences
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.715
H-Index - 96
eISSN - 1556-4029
pISSN - 0022-1198
DOI - 10.1111/1556-4029.13033
Subject(s) - unemployment , multilevel model , demography , suicide rates , inflation (cosmology) , series (stratigraphy) , time series , kingdom , suicide prevention , unemployment rate , poison control , psychology , econometrics , demographic economics , gerontology , medicine , economics , statistics , sociology , environmental health , mathematics , macroeconomics , paleontology , physics , biology , theoretical physics
For the effects of social integration on suicides, there have been different and even contradictive conclusions. In this study, the selected economic and social risks of suicide for different age groups and genders in the United Kingdom were identified and the effects were estimated by the multilevel time series analyses. To our knowledge, there exist no previous studies that estimated a dynamic model of suicides on the time series data together with multilevel analysis and autoregressive distributed lags. The investigation indicated that unemployment rate, inflation rate, and divorce rate are all significantly and positively related to the national suicide rates in the United Kingdom from 1981 to 2011. Furthermore, the suicide rates of almost all groups above 40 years are significantly associated with the risk factors of unemployment and inflation rate, in comparison with the younger groups.