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Forecasting the Discounts of Market Prices from Appraised Values for Real Estate Limited Partnerships
Author(s) -
Barber Brad M.
Publication year - 1996
Publication title -
real estate economics
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 1.064
H-Index - 61
eISSN - 1540-6229
pISSN - 1080-8620
DOI - 10.1111/1540-6229.00700
Subject(s) - real estate , economics , leverage (statistics) , value (mathematics) , financial economics , sample (material) , econometrics , market value , general partnership , microeconomics , finance , statistics , chemistry , mathematics , chromatography
A vexing problem for the appraisal industry has been estimating an appropriate discount for the value of real estate limited partnerships (RELPs) relative to their appraised value. This research develops a linear regression model that explains over 80% of the cross‐sectional variation in discounts across 60 RELPs using characteristics of each partnership. Among a holdout sample of 41 RELPs, the model provides forecasts of discounts that are superior to assuming no discount or applying a mean discount to all partnerships. Discounts are greatest for RELPs with low current yields, low leverage and high trading ranges for their market prices.