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The Substitutability of Real Estate Assets
Author(s) -
Seck Diery
Publication year - 1996
Publication title -
real estate economics
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 1.064
H-Index - 61
eISSN - 1540-6229
pISSN - 1080-8620
DOI - 10.1111/1540-6229.00681
Subject(s) - economics , real estate , stock (firearms) , financial economics , econometrics , stock market index , index (typography) , capital asset pricing model , price index , real estate investment trust , stock market , finance , mechanical engineering , paleontology , horse , world wide web , computer science , biology , engineering
This paper investigates the degree of substitutability between securitized real estate assets and real estate assets whose prices are appraisal‐based. Given the insensitivity of unsecuritized asset's returns to the returns on stock market indices, equilibrium asset pricing models cannot be used to compare these two avenues of investment. Two assets are deemed substitutable if the information sets underlying unbiased, minimum error variance estimates of their pricing parameters are identical. The empirical evidence shows that the prices of the transactions‐based assets—real estate investment trusts and the stock price index of the home building industry—follow a random walk while the prices of the appraisal‐based assets—FRC/NCREIF indices—do not. The variance decompositions of the vector autoregressions also show that the level of economic activity helps predict the price indices of appraisal‐based assets while the stock market index and the term structure of interest rates are better predictors of the prices of transactions‐based assets