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The Direction and Intensity of China’s Monetary Policy: A Dynamic Factor Modelling Approach *
Author(s) -
Funke Michael,
Tsang Andrew
Publication year - 2021
Publication title -
economic record
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.365
H-Index - 42
eISSN - 1475-4932
pISSN - 0013-0249
DOI - 10.1111/1475-4932.12576
Subject(s) - dynamic stochastic general equilibrium , dynamic factor , monetary policy , economics , china , tracing , econometrics , macroeconomics , monetary economics , computer science , geography , archaeology , operating system
The recent update of the People’s Bank of China’s monetary policy framework establishes a corridor system of interest rates. We employ a dynamic factor modelling approach to derive an indicator of China’s monetary policy stance. The approach is based on the notion that co‐movements in several monetary policy instruments have a common element that can be captured by a single underlying, unobserved component. To clarify and interpret the derived index, we employ a baseline dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model that can be solved analytically and allows tracing of the expansionary and contractionary on‐and‐off phases of Chinese monetary policy.