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Ageing, Optimal National Saving and Future Living Standards in Australia
Author(s) -
Guest Ross S.,
McDonald Ian M.
Publication year - 2001
Publication title -
economic record
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.365
H-Index - 42
eISSN - 1475-4932
pISSN - 0013-0249
DOI - 10.1111/1475-4932.00008
Subject(s) - allowance (engineering) , standard of living , population ageing , fertility , immigration , population , economics , demographic economics , geography , medicine , operations management , environmental health , market economy , archaeology
Making allowance for the ageing structure of the population, this paper calculates the levels of optimal national saving and future living standards for Australia for the period 1999–2050. For this period, the optimal saving response to the ageing of the Australian population is for national saving to increase from its current level by 2.7 per cent of GDP by the year 2017 and then to decline to the year 2050. The implied growth of living standards is 1.20 per cent per year. Reduced immigration would reduce the rate of growth of living standards but reduced fertility would not.