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State Unemployment Differentials: Equilibrium Factors vs. Differential Employment Growth
Author(s) -
PARTRIDGE MARK D.,
RICKMAN DAN S.
Publication year - 1997
Publication title -
growth and change
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.657
H-Index - 55
eISSN - 1468-2257
pISSN - 0017-4815
DOI - 10.1111/1468-2257.00063
Subject(s) - unemployment , economics , differential (mechanical device) , wage , labour economics , panel data , unemployment rate , econometric model , wage growth , demographic economics , econometrics , macroeconomics , engineering , aerospace engineering
: Differentials in U.S. state unemployment rates were persistent in the early 1990s. In addition, states with higher employment growth did not necessarily have the lowest unemployment rates. Thus, this paper examines the differentials in U.S. state unemployment rates from 1992 to 1994, decomposing them into the parts that were due to differences in recent employment growth, and those that were due to longer‐term equilibrium factors. Also, using the shift‐share model, employment growth differences are decomposed into an industry mix component and a competitiveness component. The decomposition of the 1992 to 1994 unemployment rate differentials is based on an econometric equation estimated using panel data from 1972 to 1991. Explanatory equilibrium factors included in the model are amenities, demographic characteristics, education, industry composition, labor mobility, and wage rates.