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Growth of Hong Kong Before and After its Reversion to China: The China Factor
Author(s) -
Sung YunWing,
Wong KarYiu
Publication year - 2000
Publication title -
pacific economic review
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.34
H-Index - 33
eISSN - 1468-0106
pISSN - 1361-374X
DOI - 10.1111/1468-0106.00100
Subject(s) - china , mainland china , economics , foreign direct investment , human capital , immigration , investment (military) , capital (architecture) , foreign capital , development economics , international economics , demographic economics , economy , market economy , political science , macroeconomics , geography , archaeology , politics , law
The paper focuses on the Hong Kong economy and attempts to measure the contribution of Hong Kong’s integration with mainland China to its GDP growth rate. Two linkages have received particular attention, namely, Hong Kong’s foreign direct investment (FDI) in China and immigrants from China. While the former is assumed to stimulate capital investment in Hong Kong but at the same time to reduce human capital formation (owing to a shrinkage of its domestic manufacturing sector), the latter is assumed to further reduce Hong Kong’s average human capital because immigrants tend to be less educated. By making some assumptions about the future trajectories of Hong Kong direct investment in China and Chinese immigrants into Hong Kong after its reversion to China, the paper offers some predictions about Hong Kong’s future economic growth.