Premium
Stock Return Volatility on Emerging Eastern European Markets
Author(s) -
Shields Kalvinder K.
Publication year - 1997
Publication title -
the manchester school
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.361
H-Index - 42
eISSN - 1467-9957
pISSN - 1463-6786
DOI - 10.1111/1467-9957.65.s.6
Subject(s) - economics , emerging markets , volatility (finance) , financial economics , stock (firearms) , stock market , autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity , tobit model , econometrics , asymmetry , stock exchange , monetary economics , market microstructure , macroeconomics , finance , order (exchange) , mechanical engineering , paleontology , physics , horse , quantum mechanics , biology , engineering
A common finding for developed stock markets is that negative shocks entering the market lead to a larger return volatility than positive shocks of a similar magnitude. We consider two emerging Eastern European markets where the first point of investigation is whether an analogous asymmetric characteristic is reflected in emerging markets. The second point of investigation is whether the findings differ depending on the institutional microstructure of the exchange being examined. Hence, econometric techniques are adjusted and a “double‐censored Tobit GARCH” model is developed. We find that no asymmetry exists on either emerging market but asymmetry does exist for a stock return series on the developed market; possible reasons for this are proposed.