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Unit roots and smooth transitions
Author(s) -
Leybourne Stephen,
Newbold Paul,
Vougas Dimitrios
Publication year - 1998
Publication title -
journal of time series analysis
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 1.576
H-Index - 54
eISSN - 1467-9892
pISSN - 0143-9782
DOI - 10.1111/1467-9892.00078
Subject(s) - mathematics , unit root , null hypothesis , series (stratigraphy) , econometrics , unit root test
It is common practice in time series econometrics to test the null hypothesis that the generating function is integrated—i.e. that a series is stationary only after differencing—against the alternative of stationarity about either a fixed mean or a linear trend. However, there has been considerable recent interest in the possibility of stationarity around a linear trend with an abrupt break. Here we broaden this class of alternatives to allow for a smooth transition from one trend function to another. Dickey–Fuller type tests against this alternative are developed, and their properties are explored.