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The offender group reconviction scale: a statistical reconviction score for use by probation officers
Author(s) -
Copas John,
Marshall Peter
Publication year - 1998
Publication title -
journal of the royal statistical society: series c (applied statistics)
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 1.205
H-Index - 72
eISSN - 1467-9876
pISSN - 0035-9254
DOI - 10.1111/1467-9876.00104
Subject(s) - harm , sentence , criminology , scale (ratio) , psychology , statistical analysis , interpretation (philosophy) , social psychology , computer science , geography , statistics , artificial intelligence , cartography , mathematics , programming language
The criminal courts in England and Wales may request the probation service to submit pre‐sentence reports which are considered by magistrates and judges before making their sentencing decision. Pre‐sentence reports must include an assessment of the risk of reoffending and the risk of harm to the public which the convicted offender presents. The offender group reconviction scale is a statistical aid to such risk assessment. We describe the scale and the statistical analysis on which it is based, and we discuss some statistical aspects of its interpretation and use.