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Dynamic models for spatiotemporal data
Author(s) -
Stroud Jonathan R.,
Müller Peter,
Sansó Bruno
Publication year - 2001
Publication title -
journal of the royal statistical society: series b (statistical methodology)
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 6.523
H-Index - 137
eISSN - 1467-9868
pISSN - 1369-7412
DOI - 10.1111/1467-9868.00305
Subject(s) - probabilistic logic , inference , gaussian , state space representation , econometrics , regression , computer science , climatology , statistics , mathematics , algorithm , geology , artificial intelligence , physics , quantum mechanics
We propose a model for non‐stationary spatiotemporal data. To account for spatial variability, we model the mean function at each time period as a locally weighted mixture of linear regressions. To incorporate temporal variation, we allow the regression coefficients to change through time. The model is cast in a Gaussian state space framework, which allows us to include temporal components such as trends, seasonal effects and autoregressions, and permits a fast implementation and full probabilistic inference for the parameters, interpolations and forecasts. To illustrate the model, we apply it to two large environmental data sets: tropical rainfall levels and Atlantic Ocean temperatures.