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Multivariate Bayesian variable selection and prediction
Author(s) -
Brown P. J.,
Vannucci M.,
Fearn T.
Publication year - 1998
Publication title -
journal of the royal statistical society: series b (statistical methodology)
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 6.523
H-Index - 137
eISSN - 1467-9868
pISSN - 1369-7412
DOI - 10.1111/1467-9868.00144
Subject(s) - posterior probability , latent variable , markov chain monte carlo , hyperparameter , multivariate statistics , mathematics , multivariate normal distribution , bayesian multivariate linear regression , gibbs sampling , conjugate prior , bayesian linear regression , bayesian probability , statistics , computer science , regression analysis , algorithm , bayesian inference
The multivariate regression model is considered with p regressors. A latent vector with p binary entries serves to identify one of two types of regression coefficients: those close to 0 and those not. Specializing our general distributional setting to the linear model with Gaussian errors and using natural conjugate prior distributions, we derive the marginal posterior distribution of the binary latent vector. Fast algorithms aid its direct computation, and in high dimensions these are supplemented by a Markov chain Monte Carlo approach to sampling from the known posterior distribution. Problems with hundreds of regressor variables become quite feasible. We give a simple method of assigning the hyperparameters of the prior distribution. The posterior predictive distribution is derived and the approach illustrated on compositional analysis of data involving three sugars with 160 near infrared absorbances as regressors.