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Migration and Changing Employment Status: A Hazard Function Analysis
Author(s) -
DetangDessendre Cecile,
Molho Ian
Publication year - 1999
Publication title -
journal of regional science
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 1.171
H-Index - 79
eISSN - 1467-9787
pISSN - 0022-4146
DOI - 10.1111/1467-9787.00125
Subject(s) - ceteris paribus , hazard , demographic economics , economics , covariate , hazard model , hazard ratio , labour economics , econometrics , statistics , mathematics , microeconomics , confidence interval , chemistry , organic chemistry
The effects of different employment‐status transitions on migration choices are considered from a search‐theoretic perspective. A discrete‐time hazard function for migration decisions is estimated on data for young males of rural origin in France. Employment‐status transitions are handled as endogenous time‐varying covariates. The model is estimated by distance of move. The results show that the long‐distance migration hazard is significantly related to labor market variables, and, ceteris paribus, is highest among job‐gainers compared to the other transition groups. The probability of contracted (long‐distance) migration is found to be higher than that of speculative migration for unemployed workers, especially those who are low‐educated. Evidence consistent with cumulative inertia is found for long‐distance moves. Short‐distance migration hazards are found to be unrelated to labor market variables (including employment‐status transitions) and to display no systematic pattern of duration dependence.