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Are Tariffs Inflationary?
Author(s) -
Batra Ravi
Publication year - 2001
Publication title -
review of international economics
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.513
H-Index - 58
eISSN - 1467-9396
pISSN - 0965-7576
DOI - 10.1111/1467-9396.00286
Subject(s) - economics , deflation , inflation (cosmology) , free trade , international economics , liberalization , nonmarket forces , monetary economics , keynesian economics , macroeconomics , monetary policy , market economy , factor market , physics , theoretical physics
Economists universally regard tariffs to be inflationary and free trade to be deflationary, a view that this paper challenges. It is argued that while rotectionism has generally created inflation in developing economies, the experience of the United States was totally different. Tariffs in the US were never associated with rising prices, and trade liberalization with declining prices. High tariffs were always followed by sharp drops in the cost of living. A theoretical model is developed to explain the deflationary effects of tariffs in the United States. Thus tariffs produce inflation only in nonmarket or ualistic developing economies, but not in advanced economies.