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Poverty impacts of the volume‐based special safeguard mechanism
Author(s) -
Ivanic Maros,
Martin Will
Publication year - 2014
Publication title -
australian journal of agricultural and resource economics
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.683
H-Index - 49
eISSN - 1467-8489
pISSN - 1364-985X
DOI - 10.1111/1467-8489.12068
Subject(s) - safeguard , poverty , negotiation , economics , business , natural resource economics , agricultural economics , development economics , international trade , economic growth , political science , law
The volume‐based Special Safeguard Mechanism ( Q‐SSM ) was proposed as essential for small, poor farmers and became the proximate cause of the collapse of the Doha Agenda negotiations in 2008. But is it helpful for these farmers, given that it is likely to be applied when farm output is depressed and many poor farmers in developing countries need to buy food? Stochastic simulations for 31 countries suggest that use of this safeguard in line with the proposed WTO rules would raise the world poverty headcount by an average of 24 million. The adverse poverty impact of the duty is larger when the quantity safeguard is triggered than it would be in other years, because lower farm output reduces the benefits to poor farm households from higher prices.