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A History of the D–Mark's Real External Value
Author(s) -
Fischer Christoph,
Sauernheimer Karlhans
Publication year - 2002
Publication title -
australian economic papers
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.351
H-Index - 15
eISSN - 1467-8454
pISSN - 0004-900X
DOI - 10.1111/1467-8454.00176
Subject(s) - cointegration , economics , exchange rate , currency , econometrics , value (mathematics) , variable (mathematics) , estimation , keynesian economics , macroeconomics , mathematics , statistics , mathematical analysis , management
An equilibrium time path of the real effective exchange rate of Germany's currency in the post Bretton Woods period is calculated. For this purpose, a NATREX model for the long–run determination of this specific variable is developed. A cointegration analysis gives evidence in favour of the model and provides the equilibrium values. The theoretical and empirical results are used to analyse in detail movements in the real exchange rate of the D–Mark. Estimation results suggest, among other things, that the D–Mark has mostly been overvalued and that it often adjusted with some delay to changes in the fundamentals.