A compound deep learning model for long range forecasting in electricity sale.
Author(s) -
Tao Tang,
Yeqing Zhang,
Wenjiang Feng
Publication year - 2021
Publication title -
international journal of low-carbon technologies
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
eISSN - 1748-1325
pISSN - 1748-1317
DOI - 10.1093/ijlct/ctab028
Subject(s) - electricity , computer science , range (aeronautics) , artificial neural network , sequence (biology) , deep learning , power (physics) , convolution (computer science) , artificial intelligence , resource (disambiguation) , mains electricity , consumption (sociology) , industrial engineering , machine learning , operations research , engineering , electrical engineering , computer network , social science , physics , quantum mechanics , aerospace engineering , sociology , biology , genetics
Accurate prediction of electricity sale has a positive effect on power companies in rationally arranging power supply plans, scientifically optimizing power resource allocation, improving power management efficiency, saving energy and reducing consumption. Predicting future electricity sale based on historical electricity sale data can essentially be summarized as a time series forecasting problem. This paper proposes a fast and memory-efficient method, which adopts the expressive power of deep neural networks and the time characteristics of sequence-to-sequence structure (parallel convolution and recurrent neural network) for long range forecasting in electricity sale. Through a large number of experiments and evaluation of real-world datasets, the effectiveness of the proposed method is proved and verified in terms of prediction accuracy, time consuming and training speed.
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