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Association between glycated haemoglobin and the risk of congestive heart failure in diabetes mellitus: systematic review and meta‐analysis
Author(s) -
Erqou Sebhat,
Lee CheeTin Christine,
Suffoletto Matthew,
EchouffoTcheugui Justin B.,
Boer Rudolf A.,
Melle Joost P.,
Adler Amanda I.
Publication year - 2013
Publication title -
european journal of heart failure
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 5.149
H-Index - 133
eISSN - 1879-0844
pISSN - 1388-9842
DOI - 10.1093/eurjhf/hfs156
Subject(s) - medicine , diabetes mellitus , meta analysis , heart failure , relative risk , confidence interval , type 2 diabetes , observational study , epidemiology , incidence (geometry) , prospective cohort study , cardiology , endocrinology , physics , optics
Background Clinical trials to date have not provided definitive evidence regarding the effects of glucose lowering on the incidence of congestive heart failure (CHF). We synthesized available prospective epidemiological data on the association between glycaemia measured by haemoglobin A 1c (HbA 1c ) and incident CHF in individuals with diabetes. Methods and results We searched electronic databases and reference lists of selected articles for relevant prospective epidemiological studies. We abstracted data from relevant studies using standardized forms and obtained additional data from investigators when required. We pooled study‐specific relative risk estimates using random‐effects model meta‐analysis. Of the 1044 citations identified, we included 10 studies comprising 178 929 participants with diabetes and 14 176 incident CHF cases. Five studies included only patients with type 2 diabetes, four studies had predominantly patients with type 2 diabetes, and one study included only patients with type 1 diabetes. All studies except one showed an increased risk of CHF with higher HbA 1c . The overall adjusted risk ratio (RR) for CHF was 1.15 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.10–1.21] for each percentage point higher HbA 1c . There was substantial heterogeneity across the 10 studies (I 2 : 83%; 95% CI 69–91%; P < 0.001) not explained by available study‐level characteristics such as study design or average HbA 1c level. In seven studies reporting RRs with more than one degree of adjustment, the association was minimally altered after adjustment for several cardiovascular risk factors. Conclusions In observational studies of individuals with diabetes, a higher HbA 1c level was associated with a significantly increased incidence of CHF.

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