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Are U.S. Corn and Soybeans Becoming More Drought Tolerant?
Author(s) -
Yu Tian,
Babcock Bruce A.
Publication year - 2010
Publication title -
american journal of agricultural economics
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 1.949
H-Index - 111
eISSN - 1467-8276
pISSN - 0002-9092
DOI - 10.1093/ajae/aaq074
Subject(s) - crop insurance , agronomy , yield (engineering) , crop , zea mays , drought tolerance , mathematics , economics , biology , agriculture , ecology , materials science , metallurgy
The hypothesis that corn and soybeans have become more drought tolerant is tested by regressing county yields on a drought index and time. Results indicate that corn yield losses from drought of a given severity, whether measured in quantity terms or as a percentage of mean yields, have decreased over time. Soybean percentage yield losses have also declined, but absolute losses have remained largely constant. The potential impact of increased drought tolerance on U.S. crop insurance rates is illustrated by comparing Group Risk Plan premium rates assuming time‐invariant susceptibility to drought with rates generated from this article's regression results.