
Temperature variance portends and indicates the extent of abrupt climate shifts
Author(s) -
Christine J Ramadhin,
Chuixiang Yi,
George R. Hendrey
Publication year - 2021
Publication title -
iop scinotes
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
ISSN - 2633-1357
DOI - 10.1088/2633-1357/abda14
Subject(s) - variance (accounting) , series (stratigraphy) , climatology , climate change , analysis of variance , environmental science , econometrics , statistics , mathematics , geology , economics , oceanography , accounting , paleontology
Here, we show a discernable increase in temperature variance before a glacial termination by both the Ansari-Bradley test and the moving variance methods plus introduce the idea that there is a correlation between the peak variance and peak temperature increase. The behavior of temperature variance shows potential as a useful tool in analyzing time series data of Earth systems to assess the risk and extent of an upcoming abrupt climate transition.