Open AccessAnalytical approach to the diversification effect evaluation of the innovative engineering projects portfolio for a machine-building enterprise
Author(s) -
E. N. Golovenkin,
V Yu Vilkov,
D A Matronitsky,
A S Bliznevsky,
A A Voroshilova,
E. V. Tuev
Publication year - 2020
Publication title -
iop conference series. materials science and engineering
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
eISSN - 1757-899X
pISSN - 1757-8981
DOI - 10.1088/1757-899x/734/1/012037
Subject(s) - diversification (marketing strategy) , portfolio , machine building , agency (philosophy) , work (physics) , computer science , risk analysis (engineering) , business , engineering , marketing , finance , mechanical engineering , philosophy , epistemology
As a tool to reduce the risks of innovation at the machine-building enterprises the authors suggest a new methodology aimed at point-based assessment of innovation risks. However, the experts are more likely to give interval estimates when assessing the risks of innovation. To work with interval estimates, a new software system was developed. The authors suggest using a market model that assumes a division of risks into systematic and non-systematic and allows to take into account the effect of diversification of the innovative portfolio of the machine-building enterprise. The steps of the methodology and its approbation on the data on innovative projects of one of Russian Federal Space Agency (Roskosmos) enterprises are presented in the paper.