Open AccessProblem and models of multicriteria decision making and risk assessment of the arctic offshore oil and gas field development
Author(s) -
A. B. Zolotuhin,
Yu.P. Stepin
Publication year - 2019
Publication title -
iop conference series. materials science and engineering
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
eISSN - 1757-899X
pISSN - 1757-8981
DOI - 10.1088/1757-899x/700/1/012050
Subject(s) - analytic hierarchy process , risk analysis (engineering) , computer science , field (mathematics) , pareto principle , quality (philosophy) , structuring , offshore oil and gas , selection (genetic algorithm) , development (topology) , operations research , hierarchy , submarine pipeline , engineering , operations management , mathematics , business , economics , artificial intelligence , epistemology , mathematical analysis , philosophy , geotechnical engineering , finance , pure mathematics , market economy
The article is devoted to the systematic solution of problems of multi-criteria assessment and the possibility of implementing projects for the development of hydrocarbon deposits on the Arctic shelf under conditions of uncertainty and risk. Risks are considered in a narrow and broad sense. It is shown that the solution of tasks, in this case, comes down: 1) to a multi-criteria assessment of the quality level of a field based on a hierarchy analysis method that takes into account uncertainties and risks of operating objects through the relevant necessary indicators (criteria); 2) determining, with the help of game theory adopted with the nature of the criteria for selecting the best Bayesian strategies, of development options under both partial and full uncertainty conditions; 3) selection using the rules of the Borda, Pareto and multi-criteria dispersive risk model for choosing the best development strategy.