Open AccessStochastic Models of Project Time Management
Author(s) -
С. А. Баркалов,
П. Н. Курочка,
N.Yu. Kalinina
Publication year - 2021
Publication title -
iop conference series. materials science and engineering
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
eISSN - 1757-899X
pISSN - 1757-8981
DOI - 10.1088/1757-899x/1079/3/032098
Subject(s) - problem statement , random variable , process (computing) , computer science , stochastic process , statement (logic) , stochastic programming , project management , variable (mathematics) , mathematical optimization , operations research , mathematics , management science , engineering , law , systems engineering , statistics , mathematical analysis , operating system , political science
The importance of the project time management process is noted. It is shown that the main factor affecting the temporal characteristics of the project is the composition of the project team. The process of forming a project team is considered taking into account the fact that the main characteristics of the performers, in particular their labor productivity, will be stochastic values. We consider the design process of the organization of the project, which is reduced to a stochastic programming problem, which reduces to a deterministic problem and can be solved by numerical methods. For a random variable with a normal distribution law, the problem statement is given in an analytical form. Concrete recommendations are given for determining the distribution law and solving the problems of managing construction production.