Open AccessRegional Carbon Peak Detection and Prediction – A Case Study on Fujian Province
Author(s) -
Keren Chen,
Qiyuan Cai,
Nan Zheng,
Yinan Li,
Lin Chen,
Yuanfei Li
Publication year - 2021
Publication title -
iop conference series. earth and environmental science
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
eISSN - 1755-1307
pISSN - 1755-1315
DOI - 10.1088/1755-1315/811/1/012007
Subject(s) - carbon fibers , greenhouse gas , ecological civilization , environmental science , yield (engineering) , mathematics , political science , law , china , geology , materials science , oceanography , algorithm , composite number , metallurgy
General Secretary Xi Jinping has repeatedly promised the world that “we strive to reach the peak of carbon dioxide emissions before 2030, and strive to achieve carbon neutrality by 2060”. As the first national ecological civilization experimental zone, Fujian has the ability and responsibility to become the “pioneer” and “vanguard” of national carbon emission reduction work. This paper analyzes the status of carbon emissions in Fujian Province, makes predictions on future changes in carbon emissions, and analyzes the situation of carbon peaks in Fujian. First, different source data is input into the prediction system to yield a prediction result of Fujian carbon emission from 2021 to 2060. Next, the Theil-Sen estimator is utilized to find the carbon emission trend of the past 5 years. Following this, the Mann-Kendall trend test scheme is applied to verify the “carbon peak” status of Fujian province. Finally, if the “carbon peak” is not reached yet, the slope estimation method provides anxilliary results of reaching “carbon peak”.