Open AccessPrediction of the growth of fungal communities in different environments: A GomPertz model approach
Author(s) -
Fan Yang
Publication year - 2021
Publication title -
iop conference series. earth and environmental science
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
eISSN - 1755-1307
pISSN - 1755-1315
DOI - 10.1088/1755-1315/784/1/012046
Subject(s) - gompertz function , environmental science , population growth , humidity , relative humidity , population , arid , autoregressive integrated moving average , constraint (computer aided design) , fungal growth , atmospheric sciences , ecology , geography , meteorology , mathematics , statistics , biology , time series , demography , botany , geometry , sociology , geology
The growth of fungal community is closely related to the environment. In order to study the effect of environmental change on fungi community, we first assume that global warming is the main trend of atmospheric change and assess the impact of this trend with Winters method and ARIMA model. Next, we improve the GomPertz model by considering temperature and humidity to formulate a fungus-environment model. Finally, we predict the evaluation trend of fungi communities and verify the above model in three different environments: ranging from arid to tropical rain forest. It can be concluded that in long-term, temperature has greater influence on the growth of fungi than humidity, which can somehow compensate for the lack of humidity. Therefore, fungi with better temperature tolerance will have relative advantage in the population.