Open AccessLow carbon energy model in West Papua
Author(s) -
Frenly Wehantouw,
Mahawan Karuniasa,
Rully Novie Wurarah,
Abdullah Tuharea,
Cynthia Maharani,
Himayatus Shalilah,
Priyaji Agung Pambudi
Publication year - 2021
Publication title -
iop conference series. earth and environmental science
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
eISSN - 1755-1307
pISSN - 1755-1315
DOI - 10.1088/1755-1315/716/1/012015
Subject(s) - investment (military) , environmental science , economics , political science , law , politics
West Papua is one of the Indonesian remaining forest frontiers expected to contribute greatly to countries’ climate commitments. Although fast economic growth in West Papua may results in high emission to the environment, especially in the energy sector. This study aimed to simulate the Gross Regional Domestic Product (GRDP) linked to Emission variables and integrate climate-smart development. The dynamic system model will integrate the influencing factors such as GRDP, capital, investment, and emission in West Papua. The modeling stage comprises of concept drafting, modeling, model simulation, and validation process. Powersim 10 is used to run the model. A causal loop diagram of the initial model scenario is formed of one variable is positive (reinforcing). Modeling results has been declared valid by the AME value of 4,96%. The implementation of NDC 41% in the economic sector will cut GRDP to approximately a half than business as usual GRDP. Based on the initial scenario, the model simulations indicate that the CO 2 emission along the simulation period is defined to the year 2030, about 14,397,034,50 tonCO 2 /year on average. After the structural intervention is conducted, the CO 2 emission decrease up to 25,6%, reducing emission according to NDC, 41% will correct the economy.