Open AccessSingle Factor Risk Analysis of Reservoir Operation
Author(s) -
Qian Li,
Liang Wang,
SU Yu-jie,
Zhengjie Zhou,
Lihong Zhang,
Han Wu
Publication year - 2020
Publication title -
iop conference series. earth and environmental science
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.179
H-Index - 26
eISSN - 1755-1307
pISSN - 1755-1315
DOI - 10.1088/1755-1315/585/1/012061
Subject(s) - flood myth , upstream (networking) , routing (electronic design automation) , risk analysis (engineering) , petroleum engineering , computer science , environmental science , engineering , geography , business , computer network , archaeology
The reservoir operation method is used for the storage routing, due to the existence of forecast information errors and other uncertain factors, it may bring risks to the reservoir and its upstream and downstream flood prevention safety. Therefore, the risk analysis is to design and implement the reservoir flood prevention and dispatch the key to the way. This paper introduces a single factor risk analysis method for reservoir operation. Taking Qingshan Reservoir as an example, the risk of reservoir operation using forecast is analysed. The results displayed that taking into account the flood forecast error, when the reservoir adopts the forecast operation method, the risk rate of the reservoir dam body safety.